Almeria vs Bilbao at 9:15 pm on April 22, 2023 (Round 30 of La Liga 2022/23): Expert opinions, match predictions, analysis of football odds, and statistics of the Asian handicap.
Football match prediction for today: Almeria vs Bilbao (1/2:0): 1-2.
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For a team like Almeria, who is fighting against relegation, losing only a quarter of the last round of matches is not too bad, especially since their loss was only 1-2 against the strong team Atletico Madrid. Thanks to this, La Union is still in control, but the danger is always looming, especially since Almeria is not highly regarded in terms of strength by the professional community.
In this round, Almeria will welcome Bilbao at their home stadium, Power Horse. The home record of Coach Rubi's team since the beginning of La Liga 2022/23 is in the Top 10 of the tournament (26 points/15 matches), which is quite stable compared to a candidate for relegation. However, Almeria mostly suffers defeats against better-rated opponents like Bilbao in the upcoming match, except for their victory over Barca or a draw with Atletico Madrid.
Almeria themselves were badly beaten by Bilbao (0-4) in the first leg last October, and that was their 8th loss in 9 recent matches between the two teams (all in La Liga). At this time, the Basque Lions are experiencing a drop in form, winning 10 out of 12 absolute points in the last 4 consecutive rounds of La Liga.
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Thanks to that, Coach Ernesto Valverde's team has closely followed the Top 6 with only 4 points behind. In fact, even if they only finish 7th overall, Bilbao still has a chance to return to the European stage after nearly a decade of absence. Everything will become clear after the Copa del Rey (national cup) final match between Real Madrid and Osasuna, which Bilbao will surely support the Royal Club because only if Real win the title, the ticket to European cups for next season will be transferred to the 7th team in La Liga.
Looking at the rankings and the domination of Bilbao in their matches against Almeria, the handicap of 1/2 for the away team does not seem too high. However, note that some teams in the Top 6 (Betis, Villarral, Sociedad) only gave a 1/2 handicap when playing at Almeria since the beginning of La Liga 2022/23. Regarding Bilbao, this team has never given a higher handicap than 1/2 when playing away in the league this season, even against opponents in the "relegation candidates" category like Almeria. In other words, the 1/2 handicap is not uncommon, but it is still enough to believe in Bilbao
Since their victory over Barca (1-0), Almeria has not kept a clean sheet in six games, allowing for four of those games to have over two goals. This has occurred in 4 out of the 6 recent encounters between the two teams. Bilbao is predicted to win this match, as they have scored multiple goals in their previous five away games in La Liga 2022/23. Choose Over 2 1/2.
Expected lineups for Almeria vs Bilbao:
Almeria: Martinez; Kaiky, Ely, Babic; Puigmal, Robertone, Costa, Centelles; Melero, Suarez, Baptistao
Bilbao: Simon; De Marcos, Yeray, I Martinez, Yuri; Vesga, Herrera; I Williams, Sancet, N Williams; Guruzeta
Prediction for Almeria vs Bilbao: 1-2.
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